Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 16

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	CRB Maceio		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.42	4.1	7.25
	1.4	4.33	8
	1.42	4.5	8.8
	1.45	4.12	7.59	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7.5
	1.41	4.4	7.75	Watch
	1.41	4.2	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	4.27 ↑ (3.85)	7.87 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
66.2%

Draw
21.9%

Ituano
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

24.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CRB Maceio's performance.

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

CRB Maceio - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Ituano will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CRB: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 26. Gustavo Henrique 3. Fabio Alemao 66. Ryan Carlos 98. Falcao 33. Joao Pedro 8. Gege 75. Kleiton 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 38. Leo Pereira	1. Saulo (G) 2. Leo Oliveira 3. Claudinho (C) 4. Walber 6. Richard 5. Rodrigo 8. Miqueias 10. Jose Aldo 7. Vinicius Paiva 9. Salatiel 11. Ze Eduardo
Substitutes
6. Caio Cesar 34. Darlisson 23. Fabio (G) 35. Joao Neto 11. Jorge 30. Labandeira F. 5. Lucas Maceio 2. Matheus Ribeiro 7. Mike 16. Rai 17. Romulo 1. Vitor Caetano (G)	15. Aluisio 17. Bruno Xavier 18. Falcao G. 16. Izidoro 19. Jonathan 20. Leozinho 13. Marcinho 14. Mariano G. 21. Neto Berola 23. Rocha M. 22. Vinicius Poz 12. Wesley Borges (G)
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Richard 🟨,
33', Walber 🟨,
45', Joao Pedro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Salatiel ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
64', Falcao ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
70', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
70', Leo Oliveira ↓, Marcinho ↑,
72', Leo Pereira ↓, Mike ↑,
73', Kleiton ↓, Labandeira F. ↑,
81', 🟨,
86', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Caio Cesar ↑,
87', Rodrigo ↓, Aluisio ↑,
88', Miqueias ↓, Gabriel Falcao ↑,
88', Ryan Carlos ↓, Jorge ↑,
89', Saulo 🟨,
90+2', Claudinho 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Gege ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

CRB is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ituano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently CRB have a series of home games.

In this match CRB is absolute favorite.

There will not play in CRB: Saimon (Red Card) Vitinho (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Lipe (Injury) Madison (Injury) Pablo (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches CRB won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
17.07.24	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	4:1 ✺
13.07.24	CRB Maceio - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Mirassol - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
01.07.24	CRB Maceio - Brusque	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	CRB Maceio - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLTW
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
15.07.24	Santos - Ituano	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Ituano - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
29.06.24	Ceará - Ituano	4:2 ✺
22.06.24	Ituano - Brusque	1:1 ✺
18.06.24	Guarani - Ituano	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.10.23	Ituano - CRB Maceio	0:0
21.06.23	CRB Maceio - Ituano	2:2
01.10.22	Ituano - CRB Maceio	1:0
17.06.22	CRB Maceio - Ituano	1:1

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