Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 8

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)


	Ituano		Avaí

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.9	3	2.55
	3.05	2.96	2.69
	3.05	2.96	2.69
	2.88	3	2.5
	2.92	2.97	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.51)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	2.57 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ituano
32.2%

Draw
31.4%

Avaí
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Ituano - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Avaí will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (C) 2. Leo Oliveira 3. Claudinho 4. Walber 6. Eduardo Diniz 5. Rodrigo 8. Miqueias 10. Eduardo Person 11. Leozinho 9. Thonny Anderson 7. Vinicius Paiva	31. Cesar Augusto (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 3. Tiago Pagnussat 95. Jonathan Costa 33. Mario Sergio 77. Ze Ricardo 6. Willian Maranhao 19. Joao Paulo 8. Giovanni (C) 11. Mauricio Garcez 7. Hygor
Substitutes
21. Bruno Alves 17. Bruno Xavier 23. Gabriel Falcao 15. Joao Vialle 20. Jose Aldo 13. Leo Duarte 14. Marcel Scalese 16. Marlinho 18. Ruan Carlos 1. Wesley Borges (G) 22. Yann Rolim 19. Ze Eduardo	99. Ademilson 5. Alan 9. Gabriel Poveda 1. Igor Bohn (G) 29. Jean Lucas 25. Natanael 27. Pedrinho 4. Roberto Rosa 28. Ronaldo Henrique 72. Thales Oleques 83. Wanderson
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Gilmar Pozzo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Jonathan Costa ⚽,
43', Rodrigo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eduardo Person ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
46', Hygor ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
46', Rodrigo ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
54', Thonny Anderson (Pen),
58', Mauricio Garcez 🟨,
59', Leo Oliveira 🟨,
59', Giovanni ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
66', Thonny Anderson ↓, Ze Eduardo ↑,
66', Eduardo Diniz ↓, Marlinho ↑,
73', Marcel Scalese 🟨,
77', Leo Oliveira ↓, Ruan Carlos ↑,
78', Joao Paulo ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
81', Gabriel Poveda 🟨,
87', Ze Ricardo ↓, Ronaldo Henrique ↑,
87', Mauricio Garcez ↓, Alan ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 5).

Recent matches Ituano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avaí is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Ituano: Lipe (Injury) Neto Berola (Injury) Pablo (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury)

There will not play in Avaí: Alan (Injury) Vilar (Red Card) Willian Pottker (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ituano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
26.05.24	Ituano - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Mirassol - Ituano	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Ituano - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
10.05.24	Goiás - Ituano	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLL
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
27.05.24	Avaí - Goiás	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Sport Recife - Avaí	1:2 ✺
14.05.24	Avaí - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Avaí - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Paysandu - Avaí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.11.23	Avaí - Ituano	0:0
22.07.23	Ituano - Avaí	0:1

Upcoming Matches