Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ituano		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.6	5.75
	1.52	3.6	6	Watch
	1.63	3.5	6.95
	1.58	3.49	6.85	Watch
	1.55	3.4	6
	1.55	3.52	5.83	Watch
	1.52	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.59)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	6.2 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
59.2%

Draw
26%

Floresta
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

25.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Ituano - Floresta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ituano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 5. Bruno Silva 6. Guilherme Dal Pian 11. Gustavo 10. Leo Passos 3. Luiz Gustavo 4. Matheus Mancini 2. Thassio 8. Thiago Moraes 9. Vinicius Popo 7. Walterson Silva	1. Dalton (G) 8. Guilherme Nunes 31. Icaro 9. Jeam 2. Mateus Ludke 28. Pablo 6. Rafael Furlan 7. Ruan 11. Thiaguinho 13. Thomas Kayck 3. Vitao
Substitutes
18. Daniel 13. Dija 20. Fernando Canesin 19. Gabriel Razera 15. Grigor 21. Kaio Mendes 14. Nathan Silva 17. Neto Berola 22. Osman 1. Pedro Mantovani (G) 16. Tiaguinho 23. Ze Carlos	17. Diego Matos 25. Diogo Mourao 18. Guilherme Martineli 15. Igor Dutra 4. Julio Vaz 20. Marco Antonio 5. Robson Alemao 30. Romarinho 19. Rubens 12. Wilderk (G)
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Leston Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Thiaguinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ruan ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
46', Gustavo ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
54', Leo Passos 🟨,
67', Icaro 🟨,
71', Thomas Kayck 🟨,
73', Diogo Mourao 🟨,
84', Thiago Moraes ↓, Gabriel Razera ↑,
84', Leo Passos ↓, Grigor ↑,
86', Rafael Furlan ↓, Diego Matos ↑,
87', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ituano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ituano is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Figueirense - Ituano	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Ituano - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	ABC - Ituano	2:3 ✺
27.04.25	Ituano - Tombense	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Anápolis - Ituano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWWW
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Floresta - Guarani	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Botafogo PB - Floresta	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Floresta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Anápolis - Floresta	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Floresta - Londrina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 TWWTL

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