Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 4

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	ABC		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.1
	2.2	3	3.2	Watch
	2.23	3.09	3.43
	2.26	3.17	3.25	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.25
	2.17	2.98	3.31	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
41.4%

Draw
30.5%

Ituano
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

ABC - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ituano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 18. Carlos Eduardo 20. Jonatha Carlos 2. Lucas Mota 6. Lucas Sampaio 19. Orlando Junior 11. Wallyson 14. Wellington Reis 15. Windson	1. Saulo (G) 15. Bruno Silva 10. Fernando Canesin 6. Guilherme Dal Pian 8. Kaio Mendes 3. Luiz Gustavo 4. Matheus Mancini (C) 11. Ramon 2. Thassio 9. Vinicius Popo 7. Walterson Silva
Substitutes
10. Anderson Rosa 17. Bruno Leite 23. Danilo Alves 21. Ian 9. Joaozinho 25. Juninho 5. Lucas Goncalves 7. Matheus Martins 26. Matheus Rocha 16. Octavio 12. Pedro Paulo (G) 3. Wendel	5. Daniel 13. Dija 19. Gabriel Razera 14. Grigor 20. Gustavo 12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 17. Neto Berola 21. Osman 16. Tiaguinho 30. Wesley Borges (G)
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	de Freitas U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Bruno Bispo ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Ramon ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Matheus Mancini 🟨,
59', Walterson Silva ↓, Tiaguinho ↑,
59', Fernando Canesin ↓, Osman ↑,
60', Orlando Junior ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
60', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Bruno Leite ↑,
60', Jonatha Carlos ↓, Danilo Alves ↑,
68', Windson ↓, Octavio ↑,
71', Kaio Mendes ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
73', Bruno Bispo 🟨,
75', Adeilson Maranhao ↓, Anderson Rosa ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Vinicius Popo (Pen),
83', Ramon ↓, Grigor ↑,
83', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Daniel ↑,
88', Saulo 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Matheus Martins ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, Neto Berola ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

ABC could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ABC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, ABC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.25	Botafogo PB - ABC	0:0 ✺
21.04.25	ABC - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	São Bernardo - ABC	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.04.25	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
29.03.25	ABC - América RN	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTTWL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.25	Ituano - Tombense	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Anápolis - Ituano	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Ituano - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.03.25	Capivariano - Ituano	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Ituano - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.08.23	ABC - Ituano	1:1
03.05.23	Ituano - ABC	3:0

ABC - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide