Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 12

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Ituano		Sertãozinho

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.45	5.15	Watch
	1.59	3.48	5.66	Watch
	1.6	3.25	5.5
	1.68	3.56	5.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	5.39 ↓ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
56.5%

Draw
26.6%

Sertãozinho
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.8%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Ituano - Sertãozinho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Neto Berola (Penalty Awarded),
33', 2 - 0, Lucas Stefanello ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, William G. ⚽,
66', 4 - 0, Lipe ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Sertãozinho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ituano is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ituano will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.02.26	Ituano - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Piracicaba - Ituano	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Ituano - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Ituano - Santo André	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Taubaté - Ituano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWWW
- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.02.26	Sertãozinho - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Ferroviária - Sertãozinho	3:2 ✺
11.02.26	Sertãozinho - São Bento	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sertãozinho - Linense	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Osasco Sporting - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTW

Ituano - Sertãozinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide