Match Info

Primera B - Round 31

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Sacaan (Ituzaingó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ituzaingó		Deportivo Merlo

	1	X	2
	3.20	2.80	2.20
	3.2	2.85	2.18	Watch
	3.3	2.89	2.31
	3.3	2.83	2.29	Watch
	3.4	2.8	2.18
	3.55	3.01	2.2
	3.2	2.8	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.05)	2.85 ↓ (2.92)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
27.4%

Draw
31.8%

Deportivo Merlo
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Ituzaingó - Deportivo Merlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barraza L. (G) 3. Barea T. 8. Campusano M. 5. Desposito P. 9. Gras S. 6. Mantovani E. (C) 2. Martinez J. 10. Mena L. 11. Miranda A. 7. Salvadores J. 4. Sotelo A.	1. Figueroa T. (G) 5. Alfieri L. 4. Barrientos L. 8. Benitez F. 2. Figueredo L. 10. Gugenheim C. 11. Maguicha D. 3. Miguez L. 6. Minnicelli A. 7. Quinteros E. 9. Sandoval I.
Substitutes
12. Almiron A. (G) 14. Bermejo M. 16. Fanti J. 15. Fernandez J. 18. Ibanez E. 17. Luppino F. 19. Mariani B. 20. Maza J. 13. Politano R.	16. Aguerre F. 15. Busto J. 19. Da Rosa J. E. 18. Hernandez R. 20. Linas M. 17. Paez A. M. 12. Ratti V. (G) 13. Sineiro C. 14. Velasco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Alfieri L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Deportivo Merlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Deportivo Merlo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Dep. Merlo	38	10	14	14	36:51	-15	44
22	Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25:62	-37	15

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.41%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
15.08.26	Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Camioneros	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Ituzaingó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLTTL
- Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
15.08.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	0:4 ✺
02.08.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Deportivo Merlo - Villa San Carlos	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Liniers - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
11.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	3:2
01.07.23	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Merlo	0:1
05.03.23	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	0:0
25.07.22	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Merlo	0:1
26.03.22	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	0:1
Argentinian Primera C
09.12.19	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	0:0
27.04.19	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	0:1

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