Match Info

Primera B - Round 13

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Sacaan (Ituzaingó)


	Ituzaingó		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	3.55	2.98	2.02
	3.81	2.89	2.08
	3.81	2.84	2.09	Watch
	3.7	2.75	2.1
	3.99	3.02	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	2.9 ↓ (2.92)	2.07 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituzaingó
24.2%

Draw
31.6%

Excursionistas
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

31.1%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

29.8%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Ituzaingó - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Balderrama M. A. (G) 4. Bermejo M. 8. Fanti J. 6. Liporace I. 5. Maciel E. 2. Mantovani E. (C) 7. Maza J. 10. Mena L. 11. Miranda A. 3. Politano A. 9. Sotelo A.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 8. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 10. Blanco M. 11. Damiolini N. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Pedrosa G. 7. Pereyra J. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
12. Acevedo H. (G) 13. Aguirre M. 16. Bravo G. 15. Camargo M. 20. Esquivel T. 14. Gayoso E. 19. Luppino F. 18. Sala H. 17. Santiago N.	12. Blengio M. (G) 16. Calabria G. 19. Cardozo M. 17. Espeche A. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 18. Pereyra O. 20. Tellas G. 15. Valenzuela A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Arango M. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Damiolini N. ⚽,
28', Liporace I. 🟨,
34', Fernandez M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Mena L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Blanco M. ↓, Valenzuela A. ↑,
51', Arango M. 🟨,
53', Pereyra J. 🟨,
53', Miranda A. 🟨,
64', Mena L. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
64', Sotelo A. ↓, Sala H. ↑,
64', Politano A. ↓, Santiago N. ↑,
67', Damiolini N. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
68', Fanti J. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Alaniz M. ⚽,
76', Alaniz M. ↓, Calabria G. ↑,
80', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2.

Ituzaingó is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Excursionistas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ituzaingó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Excursionistas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
22	Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25:62	-37	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
19.04.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Ituzaingó	3:0 ✺
14.04.26	Ituzaingó - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Merlo - Ituzaingó	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Ituzaingó	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLL
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
17.04.26	Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Excursionistas - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Excursionistas - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
20.11.21	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	1:0
13.10.21	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	1:1
16.06.21	Excursionistas - Ituzaingó	0:0
10.02.20	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	2:1
19.08.19	Excursionistas - Ituzaingó	2:0
23.03.19	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	1:1
08.11.18	Excursionistas - Ituzaingó	2:0

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