Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 8

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.45	3.45	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.67
	1.92	3.59	3.71	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.88	3.38	3.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.1)	3.46 ↓ (3.51)	3.58 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
48.3%

Draw
26.3%

Júbilo Iwata
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: Iwaki will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 5. Kuwata T. 4. Dohana K. 35. Fukaminato S. 27. Yamanaka A. 8. Shibata S. 22. Takahashi Y. 10. Nishitani R. 14. Yamaguchi D. 11. Kato T. 30. Shota K.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 3. Morioka R. 30. Yamazaki K. 52. Van den Bergh J. 2. Kawasaki I. 50. Uemura H. 6. Kaneko D. 36. Yoshimura R. 39. Sumi K. 16. Gustavo Silva 11. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
16. Araki M. 3. Endo R. 28. Hisanaga R. 1. Kato Y. (G) 13. Murakami H. 7. Nakajima S. 26. Sakamoto I.	13. Abe K. (G) 48. Aida Y. 14. Arjvirai P. 77. Fujiwara K. 18. Inoue S. 66. Masuda S. 27. Sato R. 7. Uehara R. 9. Watanabe R.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Shigaki R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
16', Yamanaka A. 🟨,
22', Watanabe R. 🟨,
40', Morioka R. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Yamaguchi D. ⚽, Yamanaka A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Yoshimura R. ↓, Uehara R. ↑,
69', Yamaguchi D. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
69', Uemura H. ↓, Masuda S. ↑,
76', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
78', Kaneko D. ↓, Aida Y. ↑,
78', Gustavo Silva ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
78', Sumi K. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
78', Yamanaka A. ↓, Murakami H. ↑,
78', Shota K. ↓, Araki M. ↑,
87', Kato T. ↓, Sakamoto I. ↑,
87', Nishitani R. ↓, Hisanaga R. ↑,
88', Araki M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Iwaki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iwata is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Iwata has had a series of home games.

Iwaki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Iwaki - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.23%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 J3 League
21.03.26	Nagano Parceiro - Iwaki	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Iwaki - Omiya Ardija	2:1 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Iwaki - Fujieda MYFC	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gifu - Iwaki	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 J3 League
21.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Fujieda MYFC - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Júbilo Iwata - Fukushima United	1:0 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Júbilo Iwata - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
10.08.25	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	3:1
17.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	2:0
29.07.23	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
21.05.23	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	1:1

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