Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.25	2.42
	2.69	3.41	2.52
	2.69	3.44	2.44	Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.45
	2.62	3.28	2.38	Watch
	2.60	3.25	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.69)	3.32 ↓ (3.44)	2.44 (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
34.8%

Draw
27.6%

Júbilo Iwata
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.1%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.2%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 11th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Iwata could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tegevajaro Miyazaki has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	10	3	4	3	14:14	0	13
11	Iwata	10	4	1	5	12:13	-1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.67%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2 League
11.10.26	Kataller Toyama - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Consadole Sapporo	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLTWW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
10.10.26	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Vegalta Sendai - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Júbilo Iwata - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 AET
12.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2

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