The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Júbilo Iwata 26.4%
Draw 25.7%
Kawasaki Frontale 47.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.5%
23.7%
53.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
23.4%
54.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kawasaki Frontale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kawasaki Frontale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Júbilo Iwata - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions
Users Predictions:
Kawasaki Frontale will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Miura R. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 58. Nishino H. 66. Masuda S. 8. Tameda H. 14. Ohara M. 7. Uehara R. 6. Kaneko D. 77. Fujiwara K. 11. Matheus Peixoto 32. Ota R.
1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 2. Matsunagane Y. 28. Maruyama Y. 35. Takahashi T. 19. Kawahara S. 26. Yui K. 25. Yamaichi S. 16. Ozeki Y. 34. Osa R. 93. Queiroz K.
Substitutes
2. Danilo Cardoso 31. Iago Teles 37. Kawasaki I. 25. Koike N. 29. Kuwabara K. 51. Nakajima K. (G) 19. Nozawa L. 99. Victor J. 15. Yuri Lara
21. Hayasaka Y. (G) 17. Ito T. 23. Marcinho 13. Miura S. 20. Mochiyama K. 4. Pedro Romano 5. Sasaki A. 14. Wakizaka Y. 6. Yamamoto Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Maruyama Y. ⚽,
38', Kawahara S. 🟨,
40', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Takahashi T. ↓, Pedro Romano ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Kawahara S. ⚽, Yui K. (A),
55', Nishikubo S. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
55', Tameda H. ↓, Koike N. ↑,
66', Ota R. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
71', Kaneko D. 🟨,
71', Osa R. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
72', 0 - 3, Pedro Romano ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
79', Fujiwara K. ↓, Yuri Lara ↑,
79', Ohara M. ↓, Victor J. ↑,
80', Matsunagane Y. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
80', Queiroz K. ↓, Mochiyama K. ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Yamaichi S. ⚽, Pedro Romano (A),
88', Ozeki Y. ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 1.
In recent outings, Iwata has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kawasaki shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Iwata could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Kawasaki is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Iwata has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:32 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Iwata against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:18 goals (averaging 1.1:2.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 53.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Miura R. (G) 
Matheus Peixoto 
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