Match Info

J2 League - Round 33

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	3.6	Watch
				Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.05
	2.04	3.35	4.3
	2.04	3.23	3.71	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.06)	3.34 ↓ (3.42)	3.91 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
47.8%

Draw
28.2%

Renofa Yamaguchi
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

27.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Imabari - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Imabari will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Imabari (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Imabari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tachikawa K. (G) 16. Omori R. 5. Danilo Cardoso 2. Kato T. 37. Umeki R. 20. Vinicius Diniz 18. Arai H. 14. Yuba K. 28. Patrick Verhon 6. Kajiura Y. 10. Marcus Vinicius	1. Marsman N. (G) 4. Matsuda K. 5. Yoshioka K. 76. Isotani S. 27. Ozawa R. 17. Tanabe K. 55. Okaniwa S. 8. Noyori K. 45. Yamamoto O. 20. Kawano K. 9. Arita R.
Substitutes
4. Ichihara R. 44. Ito G. (G) 9. Kondo T. 50. Mikado Y. 17. Mochii K. 24. Takeuchi Y. 7. Yamada T. 41. Yasui T. 36. Yokoyama Y.	21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 34. Furukawa D. 10. Ikegami J. 15. Itakura T. 28. Kobayashi S. 7. Misawa N. 13. Miyayoshi T. 30. Okuyama Y. 38. Suenaga T.
Coaches
Kuraishi K.	Nakayama G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Ozawa R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Patrick Verhon ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
46', Umeki R. ↓, Ichihara R. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Yokoyama Y. ⚽,
54', Ichihara R. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
69', Kawano K. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
69', Noyori K. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
70', Kondo T. 🟨,
76', Ozawa R. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
79', Arai H. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
84', Arita R. ↓, Miyayoshi T. ↑,
84', Tanabe K. ↓, Misawa N. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Yamamoto O. ⚽, Misawa N. (A),
90+3', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Imabari could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Imabari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 26.26%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
05.10.25	Tokushima Vortis - Imabari	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Imabari - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Omiya Ardija - Imabari	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Júbilo Iwata - Imabari	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Imabari - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLL
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
05.10.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
26.04.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Imabari	1:2

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