Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jarfallavallen (Jarfalla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Järfälla		Gefle

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.35
	2.58	3.35	2.48	Watch
	2.63	3.49	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.4
	2.55	3.35	2.38	Watch
	2.43	3.3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.51)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	2.41 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Järfälla
35.5%

Draw
27.1%

Gefle
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

25.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Järfälla - Gefle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 3. Akdemir N. 4. Aksoy Y. 17. Khalil A. 5. Mazanti Nyberg F. 8. Medhin T N. 11. Ogestad O. 21. Rajamohan A. 6. Saweris P. (C) 15. Tinnborg H. 9. Wurtz A.	1. Croon M. (G) 5. Ismail D. 19. Javette C. 8. Kouyate M. 23. Lundstrom N. 10. Mokede M. 16. Nehrman R. 15. Nezirevic A. 24. Persson K. (C) 20. Sugita Y. 11. Vikgren L.
Substitutes
19. Dahir K. 23. Danha C. F. 7. Fox C. 1. Liantas C. (G) 22. Moller O. 24. Nisic K. 27. Taylan M. E.	13. Berggren M. 6. Edman I. 4. Hansemon T. 77. Hasanbegovic M. 27. Markstrom T. (G) 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Khalil A. ⚽,
17', Saweris P. 🟨,
36', Lundstrom N. 🟨,
45+1', Aksoy Y. ↓, Moller O. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Nezirevic A. 🟨,
59', Javette C. ↓, Hasanbegovic M. ↑,
60', Nehrman R. ↓, Edman I. ↑,
61', Mokede M. ↓, Yaldir D. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Ogestad O. ⚽, Wurtz A. (A),
72', Akdemir N. 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Rajamohan A. ⚽, Mazanti Nyberg F. (A),
77', Rajamohan A. ↓, Dahir K. ↑,
77', Wurtz A. ↓, Taylan M. E. ↑,
77', Sugita Y. ↓, Hansemon T. ↑,
82', Mazanti Nyberg F. ↓, Nisic K. ↑,
82', Nezirevic A. ↓, Zahirovic A. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Dahir K. ⚽, Khalil A. (A),
86', Ogestad O. ↓, Danha C. F. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gefle	25	9	3	13	29:43	-14	30
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Last Results with these Odds

Gefle - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.05.26	Karlberg - Järfälla	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Järfälla - Enköping	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Järfälla	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Järfälla	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Järfälla - Piteå	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLTW
- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.05.26	Gefle - Assyriska Föreningen	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Vasalund - Gefle	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Umeå - Gefle	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Gefle - Enköping	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Karlberg - Gefle	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTWL

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