Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 28

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jarfallavallen (Jarfalla) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	19:30	Ettan Play


	Järfälla		Hammarby TFF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.75	5.75	1.27
	7.50	5.10	1.27
	7.28	5.42	1.26
	6.7	5.3	1.36	Watch
	7.20	5.35	1.19
	8.50	5.50	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.32 ↑ (6.7)	5.4 ↑ (5)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Järfälla
12.3%

Draw
16.6%

Hammarby TFF
71.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.8%

18.5%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

16.8%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hammarby TFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby TFF than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hammarby TFF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Järfälla - Hammarby TFF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 28. Abdulle A. 27. Bangala D. 19. Dahir K. 23. Danha C. F. 12. Markovski D. 8. Medhin T N. 22. Moller O. 16. Sabery A. 15. Tinnborg H. 9. Wurtz A. (C)	1. Opancar E. (G) 19. Andren G. 4. Eklund C. (C) 23. Ek N. 10. Hana G. 11. Johansson A. 3. Lindahl J. 2. Lwampindy-Bofua E. 7. Moczarny O. 6. Moses S. 28. Musa I.
Substitutes
3. Akdemir N. 26. Dibaga D. 1. Eide B. (G) 7. Fox C. 17. Khalil A. 24. Nisic K. 11. Ogestad O.	13. Camara A. 17. Corlin O. 5. Dwomoh R. 31. Karlsson S. (G) 14. Krasniqi L. 20. Lohake A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
65', 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 3rd).

Recent results have been tough for Järfälla (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hammarby TFF has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Hammarby TFF is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Järfälla has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hammarby TFF	28	14	7	7	55:29	26	49
15	Jarfalla	28	6	5	17	39:60	-21	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.10.26	Arlanda - Järfälla	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Järfälla - Umeå	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Stocksund - Järfälla	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Järfälla - AFC Eskilstuna	2:4 ✺
20.09.26	Piteå - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTLL
- Hammarby TFF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.10.26	Hammarby TFF - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Hammarby TFF - Enköping	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Umeå - Hammarby TFF	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Hammarby TFF - Stocksund	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Arlanda - Hammarby TFF	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.06.26	Hammarby TFF - Järfälla	1:1

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