Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 22

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday

Location: Heino Lipp Stadium (Johvi)


	Jõhvi Phoenix		Nõmme United U21

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.75	2.37
	2.25	3.75	2.48
	1.55	4.78	4.27	Watch
	2.28	3.75	2.47
	2.01	3.95	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.25)	4 ↑ (3.5)	2.89 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jõhvi Phoenix
44.7%

Draw
23.2%

Nõmme United U21
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

25%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jõhvi Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Nõmme United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Jõhvi Phoenix - Nõmme United U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Globenko A. (G) 11. Shashkov I. 2. Krupski A. 18. Kulikov D. 28. Friesen V. 4. Martsuk N. 7. Vrabie A. 99. Velikanov V. 71. Minajev M. 9. Tsvibelberg G. 8. Zahharov J. (C)	91. Ortega R. (G) 88. Manniste M. 58. Medvedev A. 5. Kais J. 32. Piht K. 25. Kabal G. (C) 7. Leppik R. 22. Radomskiy A. 80. Molder K. 59. Gusarov A. 13. Truuvaart A.
Substitutes
5. Jakovlev M. 13. Karhanin S. 47. Kuzmenkov A. 27. Manuskin A. 68. Radionov I. 10. Salmus A. 55. Savenkov A. 33. Tikhomirov A.	27. Lumi L. 66. Palu R. 20. Polda P. (G) 18. Saarnak J. 77. Tomingas K. 36. Veske S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Zahharov J. (Pen),
19', 2 - 0, Tsvibelberg G. ⚽,
20', 3 - 0, Martsuk N. ⚽,
23', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 🟨,
52', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 2, Medvedev A. ⚽,

Preview

Jõhvi Phoenix is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nõmme United U21 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Jõhvi Phoenix has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jõhvi Phoenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Jõhvi Phoenix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jõhvi FC Phoenix
Estonian Esiliiga B
26.07.25	Kuressaare U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Paide U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
06.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	3:4 ✺
22.06.25	Kuressaare U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
26.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
05.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	5:2 ✺
30.06.25	Kuressaare U21 - Nõmme United U21	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
28.05.25	Nõmme United U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	3:2
26.04.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Nõmme United U21	5:2

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