Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 5 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)


	Júbilo Iwata		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	4
	1.65	3.9	4.6
	1.69	4.19	4.86
	1.6	3.6	4.5
	1.66	4.05	4.8	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	3.88 ↑ (3.6)	4.59 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
55.9%

Draw
23.9%

Zweigen Kanazawa
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

25.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24.3%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.3%	6.5%	3.2%

Júbilo Iwata - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions

Users Predictions: Júbilo Iwata will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.91% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Miura R. (G) 27. Yoshinaga M. 15. Suzuki K. 22. Nakagawa S. 5. Ogawa D. 28. Kanuma N. 50. Endo Y. 14. Matsumoto M. 8. Omori K. 31. Furukawa Y. 29. Gonzalez F.	1. Shirai Y. (G) 25. Kojima M. 39. Shoji H. 4. Inoue R. 2. Nagamine Y. 14. Ishihara T. 17. Kajiura Y. 8. Fujimura K. 7. Kato J. 11. Sugiura K. 9. Hayashi M.
Substitutes
33. Dudu 42. Goto K. 6. Ito M. 81. Kajikawa Y. (G) 4. Matsubara K. 7. Uehara R. 10. Yamada H.	3. Kuroki K. 36. Miura M. (G) 13. Oishi R. 15. Okuda K. 18. Onohara K. 10. Shimada S. 19. Toyoda Y.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Yanagishita M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 5.

Iwata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kanazawa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kanazawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Iwata is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Iwata to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Iwata won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
01.07.23	Júbilo Iwata - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu	1:1 ✺
25.06.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Júbilo Iwata	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
18.06.23	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
11.06.23	Vegalta Sendai - Júbilo Iwata	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTWWW
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2 League
01.07.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	5:1 ✺
17.06.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Blaublitz Akita - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Machida Zelvia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.04.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
21.08.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
29.05.21	Júbilo Iwata - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
18.10.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
23.08.20	Júbilo Iwata - Zweigen Kanazawa	6:0
13.09.15	Zweigen Kanazawa - Júbilo Iwata	0:3
06.06.15	Júbilo Iwata - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1

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