Match Info

1. Liga - Round 20

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	JDFS Alberts		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.80	2.10
	2.55	3.85	2.10
	2.54	4.04	2.13
	2.85	4.16	1.99	Watch
	2.50	4.00	2.10
	3.13	3.91	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.13)	3.96 ↓ (4)	2.07 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JDFS Alberts
33.4%

Draw
22.8%

Valmiera
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

22.9%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

22.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JDFS Alberts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Valmiera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JDFS Alberts than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JDFS Alberts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valmiera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

JDFS Alberts - Valmiera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Lopes G. ⚽, Abe W. (A),
79', 0 - 2, Buss R. ⚽, Lopes G. (A),
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga).

JDFS Alberts is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valmiera is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Valmiera has had a series of home games.

Valmiera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, JDFS Alberts won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valmiera	21	16	3	2	60:23	37	51
5	Alberts JDFS	21	11	4	6	42:31	11	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JDFS Alberts
Latvian 1 Liga
05.09.26	JDFS Alberts - Smiltene	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Mārupe - JDFS Alberts	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Rīgas FS 2 - JDFS Alberts	1:3 ✺
03.08.26	Tukums 2000 2 - JDFS Alberts	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	JDFS Alberts - Super Nova 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWTT
- Valmiera FK
Latvian 1 Liga
05.09.26	Valmiera - Metta	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Rēzekne - Valmiera	1:6 ✺
22.08.26	Valmiera - Mārupe	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	Valmiera - Rīgas FS 2	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Valmiera - Riga 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
09.05.26	Valmiera - JDFS Alberts	1:1

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