Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 25

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	JFK Ventspils		Mārupe

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.65	3.8
	1.75	3.79	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.72)	3.72 ↑ (3.65)	3.83 ↑ (3.8)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JFK Ventspils
52.1%

Draw
24.3%

Mārupe
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JFK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Mārupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

JFK Ventspils - Mārupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovs A. (C) 14. Bojaruns V. 20. Dembele M. 22. Essennouni Y. 6. Hounlete P. 17. Liepajnieks V. 23. Lucins A. 9. Markovs K. 29. Solomonovs N. 19. Svarups K. 15. Veidemanis R.	1. Zandreiters R. (G) 26. Jansons K. 6. Komorovskis K. 17. Korolcuks R. 7. Korsaks K. (C) 37. Korzans R. 14. Oliynyk M. 20. Speks R. 21. Strauss G. 16. Sula M. 22. Zarovs N.
Substitutes
7. Aliyu A. 11. Gaisins J. 13. Jurcenko A. 18. Kicigins I. 16. Mukaev A. (G) 28. Psenicins R. 32. Rungis A. 35. Terentjevs A. 21. Udrins A.	12. Bareika K. (G) 41. Garais P. 10. Sadovnikovs R. 15. Seliverstovs A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Speks R. 🟨,
34', Dembele M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Komorovskis K. ↓, Garais P. ↑,
63', Korzans R. ↓, Sadovnikovs R. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Dembele M. ⚽,
73', Hounlete P. 🟨,
81', Jansons K. 🟨,
84', Markovs K. ↓, Gaisins J. ↑,
90', Dembele M. ↓, Rungis A. ↑,
90+2', Essennouni Y. ↓, Jurcenko A. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 7)

JFK Ventspils is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mārupe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, JFK Ventspils is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, JFK Ventspils won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, JFK Ventspils won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JFK Ventspils
Latvian 1 Liga
25.10.25	Skanstes - JFK Ventspils	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	JDFS Alberts - JFK Ventspils	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	JFK Ventspils - Rīgas FS 2	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Smiltene - JFK Ventspils	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	JFK Ventspils - Riga Mariners	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLTL
- Mārupes SC
Latvian 1 Liga
25.10.25	Mārupe - Olaine	5:1 ✺
05.10.25	Rēzekne - Mārupe	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Mārupe - Skanstes	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Riga 2 - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Mārupe - JDFS Alberts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
05.07.25	Mārupe - JFK Ventspils	1:2
15.09.24	JFK Ventspils - Mārupe	2:3
11.05.24	Mārupe - JFK Ventspils	1:0

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