Match Info

Kakkonen Group C - Losers stage

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Heinäpää (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	JS Hercules		TP-47

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.25	6.75
	1.42	4.60	4.70
	1.33	5.79	7.22
	1.25	6.3	7.6	Watch
	1.31	5.1	7.1
	1.3	4.9	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (2.2)	5.32 ↑ (3.9)	6.85 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JS Hercules
69.4%

Draw
17.2%

TP-47
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

22.7%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

22.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JS Hercules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JS Hercules's performance.

TP-47 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TP-47 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (-28.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JS Hercules that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (+23.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TP-47 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

JS Hercules - TP 47 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. JS Hercules will win (votes: 3 - 75%). TP-47 will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. JS Hercules (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Taavettila E. (G) 5. Haapalainen N. 22. Hanhineva J. 24. Jibrin A. (C) 14. Kainu J. 20. Karsama J. 13. Kotilainen E. 98. Siika-Aho L. 18. Simsek B. 15. Thurling S. 11. Ukura S.	25. Rapo J. (G) 20. Barrow A. 19. Harju E. (C) 5. Isokangas J. 28. Kulju E. 3. Mattinen V. 17. Niskala J. 9. Nurkkala M. 99. Pitkanen A. 32. Rauhala E. 21. Toivanen E.
Substitutes
9. Kurvinen J. 91. Lehtosaari S. 16. Montell J. 12. Siiviko A. (G) 28. Tervaoja S.	8. Alamaki J. 7. Eskelinen M. 47. Karvonen N. (G) 10. Korkala V. 16. Korkeamaki H. 22. Lantto E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Karsama J. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Simsek B. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Pitkanen A. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Kainu J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kulju E. ↓, Korkala V. ↑,
54', Ukura S. ↓, Montell J. ↑,
58', 4 - 1, Montell J. ⚽,
60', Rauhala E. ↓, Korkeamaki H. ↑,
60', Nurkkala M. ↓, Eskelinen M. ↑,
76', Karsama J. ↓, Kurvinen J. ↑,
76', Thurling S. ↓, Tervaoja S. ↑,
80', 5 - 1, Simsek B. ⚽,
81', Niskala J. ↓, Alamaki J. ↑,
81', Rapo J. ↓, Karvonen N. ↑,
81', Taavettila E. ↓, Siiviko A. ↑,
81', Siika-Aho L. ↓, Lehtosaari S. ↑,
89', Kotilainen E. 🟨,
90', 6 - 1, Kainu J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JS Hercules won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with JS Hercules holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, JS Hercules has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:23 (averaging 1.7:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for JS Hercules against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:15 goals (averaging 1.3:3.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JS Hercules
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
03.10.26	SJK Akatemia 2 - JS Hercules	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	JS Hercules - Vaajakoski	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia 2	3:5 ✺
11.09.26	TP-47 - JS Hercules	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Vaajakoski - JS Hercules	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTLWL
- TP-47
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
04.10.26	TP-47 - Vaajakoski	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	TP-47 - SJK Akatemia 2	0:4 ✺
19.09.26	Vaajakoski - TP-47	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	TP-47 - JS Hercules	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	SJK Akatemia 2 - TP-47	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
11.09.26	TP-47 - JS Hercules	0:1
23.07.26	TP-47 - JS Hercules	0:1
09.05.26	JS Hercules - TP-47	1:2
24.07.25	TP-47 - JS Hercules	1:5
22.05.25	JS Hercules - TP-47	1:5
25.07.24	TP-47 - JS Hercules	3:2
16.05.24	JS Hercules - TP-47	1:7

JS Hercules - TP-47: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide