Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 35

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sport Recife		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.12
	3.38	3.46	2.11	Watch
	3.54	3.34	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
27.5%

Draw
28.4%

Vitória Salvador
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

27.3%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Vitória will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 33. Matheus Alexandre 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 40. Ramon Menezes 36. Luan Candido 21. Lucas Kal 14. Rivera C. 10. Lucas Lima 38. Leo Pereira 17. Matheusinho 92. Pablo	12. Thiago Couto (G) 27. Caceres R. 4. Camutanga 5. Lucas Halter (C) 43. Edu 13. Ramon 44. Baralhas 8. Ronald Lopes 17. Cantalapiedra A. 33. Erick 31. Lopez R.
Substitutes
13. Aderlan 42. Adriano Sousa (G) 20. Atencio R. 30. Chrystian Barletta 54. Gomes do Nascimento A. 19. Hyoran 3. Kevyson 27. Oliveira S. 7. Paciencia G. 9. Ramirez I. 11. Romarinho 6. Silva J.	21. Dudu 23. Fabricio 22. Lucas Braga 10. Matheuzinho 66. Maykon Jesus 77. Neris 11. Osvaldo 6. Pepe 79. Renato Kayzer 28. Ricardo Ryller 71. Yuri (G) 3. Ze Marcos
Coaches
Lucena C.	Jair Ventura

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Luan Candido (Own goal),
15', 0 - 2, Cantalapiedra A. ⚽, Caceres R. (A),
29', 1 - 2, Pablo ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramon Menezes ↓, Kevyson ↑,
46', Matheusinho ↓, Romarinho ↑,
46', Lopez R. ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
48', 1 - 3, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Erick (A),
54', Rivera C. 🟨,
61', Erick 🟨,
65', Erick ↓, Lucas Braga ↑,
65', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
68', Kevyson 🟨,
74', Rivera C. ↓, Gomes do Nascimento A. ↑,
81', Baralhas ↓, Dudu ↑,
81', Ronald Lopes ↓, Ricardo Ryller ↑,
86', Lucas Kal ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
86', Leo Pereira ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 0.

Recife is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Derik Lacerda (Suspended) Gabriel (Yellow Cards) Hereda (Health problems) Igor Carius (Yellow Cards) Pedro Augusto (Hip Injury) Ze Lucas (International duty) Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Fintelman (Hip Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Lucas Arcanjo (Knee Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury) Willian Oliveira (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Vitória: Claudinho (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A
18.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Sport Recife	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Sport Recife - Flamengo	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Sport Recife - Atlético Mineiro	2:4 ✺
05.11.25	Sport Recife - Juventude	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Flamengo - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
19.11.25	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
05.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Vitória Salvador - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
23.07.25	Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife	2:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.03.25	Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
18.11.23	Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife	1:0
19.07.23	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	1:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
01.02.20	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.19	Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife	2:2
08.06.19	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	3:1

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