Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 20

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sporty TV
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 10
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.78	3.8	4
	1.82	3.65	3.85	Watch
	1.87	3.86	4.16
	1.83	3.91	4.08	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.9
	1.83	3.8	4.15	Watch
	1.81	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.61)	3.72 ↑ (3.35)	4.03 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
51.5%

Draw
25.2%

Motor Lublin
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.7%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motor Lublin's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Motor (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 4 - 80%). Motor (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 70. Pelmard A. 13. Vital B. 27. Wdowik B. (C) 6. Romanczuk T. 11. Imaz J. 86. Mazurek B. 7. Pozo A. 10. Pululu A. 19. Nahuel M.	1. Brkic I. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 39. Bartos M. 3. Matthys H. 24. Luberecki F. 7. Rodrigues I. 6. Samper S. 68. Wolski B. (C) 30. Ndiaye M. 9. Czubak K. 11. Fabio Ronaldo
Substitutes
14. Bazdar S. 66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 8. Drachal D. 31. Flach L. 4. Kobayashi Y. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 85. Kozlowski E. 23. Montoia G. 22. Piekutowski M. (G) 9. Rallis D. 17. Sylla Y. 80. Zalewski Z.	77. Dadashov R. 42. Ede B. 23. Haxha F. 10. Karasek K. 26. Krol M. 21. Labojko J. 16. Lewandowski F. 18. Najemski A. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 17. Wojcik F.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Stolarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Rodrigues I. (A),
44', Imaz J. 🟨,
44', Matthys H. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', Pozo A. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
59', Nahuel M. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
67', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
67', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Krol M. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Bazdar S. ⚽, Pululu A. (A),
76', 3 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Drachal D. (A),
76', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
76', Rodrigues I. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
78', Matthys H. ↓, Ede B. ↑,
82', Wdowik B. ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
82', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Konstantopoulos A. ↑,
86', Mazurek B. 🟨,
87', Imaz J. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Romanczuk T. ⚽, Montoia G. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).

In recent matches, Jagiellonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Motor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Jagiellonia has had a series of away games.

Recently, Motor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jagiellonia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Jagiellonia: 1.39% Motor Lublin: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	9	4	0	5	13:16	-3	12
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9:15	-6	6

Last Results with these Odds

Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 55.48%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.01.26	Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Maribor - Jagiellonia Białystok	Canceled ✺
23.01.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Čukarički	3:0 ✺
15.01.26	LASK Linz - Jagiellonia Białystok	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 W?WLT
- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.02.26	Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Motor Lublin - IMT Novi Beograd	5:1 ✺
09.01.26	Motor Lublin - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.12.25	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
14.12.25	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1
16.02.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	3:0
25.09.24	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2
Club Friendly
17.01.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin	0:0
04.07.23	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1

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