Match Info

Date: 11 September 2020, Friday


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.9
	1.95	3.55	3.7	Watch
	1.96	3.5	3.6
	2.08	3.57	3.67
	1.95	3.5	3.7	Watch
	2.01	3.7	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)	3.56 ↓ (3.67)	3.7 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
48.1%

Draw
26.5%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

20.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.5%	14.7%	11.8%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 58.7% – 88.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Jagiellonia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.08.20	Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
24.08.20	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
13.08.20	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.20	Jagiellonia Białystok - Znicz Pruszków	6:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.20	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLWL
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.08.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Cracovia	2:2 ✺
23.08.20	Górnik Zabrze - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
15.08.20	Stal Rzeszów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
05.08.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
01.05.16	Jagiellonia Białystok - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:2
04.04.16	Jagiellonia Białystok - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:3
02.11.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1
22.03.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:0
29.09.14	Jagiellonia Białystok - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:2
01.05.14	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1
21.02.14	Jagiellonia Białystok - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2

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