Match Info

Date: 30 August 2020, Sunday


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.15	3.15	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.3
	3.15	3.31	2.35
	3	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.08	3.44	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.18)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
30.4%

Draw
28.7%

Cracovia
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

28.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

20.8%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cracovia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	20%	73.3%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Cracovia will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Podbeskidzie is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cracovia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Podbeskidzie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cracovia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.08.20	Górnik Zabrze - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
15.08.20	Stal Rzeszów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
05.08.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.07.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL
- Cracovia Krakow
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Malmö - Cracovia	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.08.20	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
16.08.20	Chrobry Głogów - Cracovia	1:2 ET ✺
24.07.20	Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk	3:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.20	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.01.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Cracovia	3:2
17.11.18	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Cracovia	2:1
07.09.18	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Cracovia	2:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.12.15	Cracovia - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:1
01.08.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Cracovia	0:1
29.05.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Cracovia	0:3
20.02.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Cracovia	1:1

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