Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 30

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		ŁKS Łomża

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.55	1.98
	3.31	4.25	1.81
	3.46	4.64	1.7	Watch
	3.7	3.8	1.67
	3.94	4.15	1.65	Watch
	3.14	3.56	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.14)	3.99 ↑ (3.56)	1.78 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
26.4%

Draw
22.7%

ŁKS Łomża
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

24.8%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

23.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ŁKS Łomża has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Antkowiak H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', Ziarek A. 🟥,
86', 0 - 2, Klups T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 0.

In recent matches, Jagiellonia II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Łomża is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Łomża may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Łomża could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	2	15
18	LKS Lomza	11	0	3	8	10:25	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.04.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Widzew Łódź II	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWTW
- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.05.26	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Wikielec - ŁKS Łomża	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - ŁKS Łomża	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0
22.03.25	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2
25.08.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	1:4
13.04.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	0:3
16.09.23	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1
03.06.17	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2
04.11.16	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	2:0

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