Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Troszyn

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	4.60
	1.73	3.80	3.55
	1.74	4.20	3.95
	1.74	3.96	3.76	Watch
	1.46	4.20	4.85
	1.45	4.58	4.08	Watch
	1.45	4.30	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)	4.15 ↑ (3.9)	4.24 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
56.9%

Draw
21.8%

Troszyn
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.1%

22.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

21.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Troszyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Troszyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Leonowicz F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 17th in the Relegation).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Bookmakers give the edge to Jagiellonia II for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Jagiellonia II has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jagiellonia II against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Jagiellonia II	12	4	4	4	24:23	1	16
17	Troszyn	12	2	4	6	14:26	-12	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.10.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
25.09.26	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łódź II	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	7:4 ✺
05.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWW
- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.10.26	Wisła Płock II - Troszyn	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mławianka Mława - Troszyn	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Troszyn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.05.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Troszyn	0:1
31.10.25	Troszyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1

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