Match Info

BRAZIL: CAPIXABA - ROUND 9

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Jaguare		Nova Venécia

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.55
	2.73	2.91	2.61
	2.69	2.89	2.57
	2.7	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.68)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2.57 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguare
33.6%

Draw
31.1%

Nova Venécia
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

30.1%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nova Venécia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguare than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Venécia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Paulo Henrique (G) 4. Correia 3. Dos Santos 17. Fabio 11. Gianlucas 7. Gil Mineiro 24. Joao Firmino 22. Kainandro 10. Matheus Firmino 16. Ronieli 14. Valu	12. Flavio (G) 2. Adson Oliveira 10. Cristiano Salib 9. Diego Fernandes 14. Dudu 7. Erlon 8. Gabriel Gomes 6. Geisandro 5. Joao Vitor 3. Matheus Castelo 4. Yann Motta
Substitutes
18. Iure 9. Julio Cesar 1. Lucas Rocha (G) 2. Renzo 15. Robert 19. Shaider	16. Caue 13. Felipe Almeida 19. Gabriel J. 11. Keven A. 15. Leandrinho 21. Lorran 17. Rander 22. Rhamon Mexicano 18. Riquelme 20. Tico 1. Wagner (G)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Jaguare is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Nova Venécia is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent matches Jaguare is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nova Venécia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nova Venécia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Jaguare have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguare EC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
24.02.24	Vitória ES - Jaguare	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Jaguare - Estrela do Norte	2:0 ✺
06.02.24	Rio Branco-VN - Jaguare	0:0 ✺
02.02.24	Serra - Jaguare	5:0 ✺
27.01.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Jaguare	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTLT
- Nova Venécia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
25.02.24	Nova Venécia - Rio Branco AC ES	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.02.24	Nova Venécia - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
17.02.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
08.02.24	Nova Venécia - Porto Vitória	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Noroeste - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT

Jaguare - Nova Venécia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide