Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday


	Nova Venécia		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	9	6	1.29
	5.25	4.2	1.47
	9	5.5	1.25	Watch
	7.3	4.7	1.25
	8.43	5.69	1.29
	8	5.5	1.25
	9.15	5.55	1.29
	8.2	5.2	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.04 ↑ (7.14)	5.29 ↑ (4)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Venécia
11.5%

Draw
17.5%

Botafogo SP
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

22.7%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

21.2%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Venécia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo SP's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Venécia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Nova Venécia - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nova Venécia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In case of a draw away team advances.

Recent matches Nova Venécia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Botafogo SP has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo SP is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Venécia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
17.02.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
08.02.24	Nova Venécia - Porto Vitória	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Noroeste - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
30.01.24	Nova Venécia - Serra	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Nova Venécia - Vitória ES	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTTT
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
17.02.24	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	1:4 ✺
11.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	0:3 ✺
04.02.24	Ituano - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

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