Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Jaguares de Córdoba		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4.10	3.30	1.80
	4.25	3.4	1.82
	4.2	3.5	1.8
	4.52	3.48	1.78	Watch
	4.17	3.38	1.84
	4.5	3.35	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↓ (4.7)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Córdoba
21.2%

Draw
27.1%

Deportes Tolima
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

26.8%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

25.2%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Jaguares de Córdoba aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 20th and 8th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Bookmakers give the edge to Deportes Tolima for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jaguares de Córdoba has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:37 (averaging 0.7:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jaguares de Córdoba against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 5:15 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Deportes Tolima: 7.15% Jaguares de Cordoba: 0.63%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportes Tolima	12	5	4	3	15:13	2	19
20	Jaguares de Cordoba	11	1	4	6	11:20	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
03.10.26	Rionegro Águilas - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Alianza Valledupar	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLTT
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
03.10.26	Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
28.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:1
19.08.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportes Tolima	0:2
15.02.24	Deportes Tolima - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0
06.10.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportes Tolima	0:1
26.04.23	Deportes Tolima - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:1
06.08.22	Deportes Tolima - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2
13.02.22	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportes Tolima	0:2

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