The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaguares de Córdoba 17.8%
Draw 24.8%
Deportes Tolima 57.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.9%
26.8%
53.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.2%
26.4%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportes Tolima Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Mosquera F. (G) 4. Franco J. 6. Lovera J. 29. Henao C. 18. Jimenez L. 5. Colpa Bolano R. R. 21. Bustamante R. 7. De La Rosa W. 10. Jopito 9. Mejia J. 11. Renteria A. (C)
1. Neto Volpi (G) 33. Mosquera J. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 2. Angulo A. (C) 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 20. Hernandez J. 80. Rovira B. 8. Valencia E. 32. Guzman S. 24. Parra Osorio A. 15. Aguayo S.
Substitutes
2. Alfonso A. 16. Beltran J. 24. Cubides S. 27. Gracia F. 17. Lopez D. 26. Lopez E. (G) 28. Zuluaga D.
28. Lopez E. 5. Mera J. 34. Moreno G. 13. Ortega M. (G) 16. Reyes V. 29. Sanchez N. 9. Sandoval L. 11. Valencia J.
Coaches
Mendez J.
Suarez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
28', Guzman S. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
37', Valencia E. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Jimenez L. ⚽, Bustamante R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
52', Rovira B. 🟨,
58', Aguayo S. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
64', Renteria A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
64', Jopito ↓, Beltran J. ↑,
65', Mejia J. ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Beltran J. ⚽, Bustamante R. (A),
68', Sandoval L. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Parra Osorio A. ⚽, Sandoval L. (A),
79', Rovira B. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
81', De La Rosa W. ↓, Yanez J. ↑,
85', Franco J. ↓, Alfonso A. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Parra Osorio A. ⚽, Valencia E. (A),
90', Cubides S. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Lopez D. ⚽,
90+5', Beltran J. 🟨,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 20th and 8th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Jaguares de Córdoba (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Deportes Tolima have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Jaguares de Córdoba could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Deportes Tolima carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jaguares de Córdoba has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:37 (averaging 0.7:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jaguares de Córdoba against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 5:15 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).
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Mosquera F. (G) 
Jopito 
Neto Volpi (G) 
Aguayo S. 
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