Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Jaraguay (Monteria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, SportsEngine Play


	Jaguares de Córdoba		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.30	3.10	2.95
	2.32	3.1	3.05	Watch
	2.48	3.15	3.25
	2.4	3.05	3.13	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.1
	2.41	2.98	3.1	Watch
	2.32	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.18)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)	3.1 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Córdoba
39.4%

Draw
30.4%

Fortaleza CEIF
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Jaguares de Córdoba - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Fortaleza (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mosquera F. (G) 4. Franco J. 6. Lovera J. 29. Henao C. 23. Arcila J. 5. Colpa Bolano R. R. 21. Bustamante R. 7. De La Rosa W. 10. Jopito 9. Mejia J. 11. Renteria A. (C)	1. Barlasina W. (G) 16. Cajares J. 5. Medina Obando J. 6. Diaz Y. 2. Copete A. 8. Navarro S. 14. Pico L. (C) 28. Vivas S. 27. Sinisterra J. 32. Vazquez M. 20. Blanco J.
Substitutes
2. Alfonso A. 16. Beltran J. 24. Cubides S. 27. Gracia F. 17. Lopez D. 3. Malagon J. 1. Martinez D. (G) 8. Rodriguez Urango D. 28. Zuluaga D.	25. Garcia J. 9. Herrera J. 13. Mejia B. 7. Montano I. 35. Mosquera A. 19. Pulicastro F. 24. Salas J. 12. Santander C. (G) 30. Solis J.
Coaches
Bodhert H.	Arias D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Blanco J. ⚽, Vazquez M. (A),
21', Copete A. 🟨,
37', Blanco J. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
39', Franco J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sinisterra J. ↓, Solis J. ↑,
46', Franco J. ↓, Alfonso A. ↑,
46', De La Rosa W. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
48', Vivas S. 🟨,
50', Henao C. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Vazquez M. ⚽, Navarro S. (A),
57', Mejia J. ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
57', Jopito ↓, Beltran J. ↑,
65', Vazquez M. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Renteria A. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Navarro S. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
80', Alfonso A. ↓, Rodriguez Urango D. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Lopez D. ⚽, Rodriguez Urango D. (A),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 14)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jaguares de Córdoba might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11
20	Jaguares de Cordoba	11	1	4	6	11:20	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Fortaleza CEIF - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 28.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
05.09.26	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:3 ✺
29.08.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - América de Cali	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	Inter Bogotá - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTWTL
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
05.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Boyacá Chicó - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
04.03.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1
07.10.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:1
23.03.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1

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