What is the expert prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Real Cundinamarca?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Real Cundinamarca. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Jaguares de Córdoba vs Real Cundinamarca Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, May 07, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria (Monteria)


	Jaguares de Córdoba		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.65	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4.59
	1.87	3.06	4.98	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4
	1.81	2.97	4.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.62)	3.07 ↓ (3.48)	4.55 ↓ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Córdoba
49.6%

Draw
30.1%

Real Cundinamarca
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaguares de Córdoba's form might have worsened.

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaguares de Córdoba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Jaguares de Córdoba will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Amaya J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Lopez D. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 1 - 2, Acosta O. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Jaguares de Córdoba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Cundinamarca is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Real Cundinamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jaguares de Córdoba is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto	2:3 ✺
06.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTLLW
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Independiente Yumbo - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
15.07.25	Real Cundinamarca - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1
02.02.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Real Cundinamarca	1:1

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