Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria (Monteria)


	Jaguares de Córdoba		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.65	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4.59
	1.87	3.06	4.98	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4
	1.81	2.97	4.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.62)	3.07 ↓ (3.48)	4.55 ↓ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Córdoba
49.6%

Draw
30.1%

Real Cundinamarca
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaguares de Córdoba's form might have worsened.

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaguares de Córdoba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jaguares de Córdoba - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Amaya J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Lopez D. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 1 - 2, Acosta O. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Jaguares de Córdoba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Cundinamarca is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Real Cundinamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jaguares de Córdoba is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto	2:3 ✺
06.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTLLW
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
15.07.25	Real Cundinamarca - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1
02.02.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Real Cundinamarca	1:1

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