Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria (Monteria)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Jaguares de Córdoba		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.85	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2
	4.15	3.35	1.88	Watch
	4.49	3.4	1.89
	4.45	3.4	1.83	Watch
	4	3.4	1.83
	4.05	3.69	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.43)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	1.87 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaguares de Córdoba
23%

Draw
27%

Junior Barranquilla
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

26.8%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

26%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez D. (G) 30. Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 22. Ordonez C. 29. Henao C. 20. Castano M. 8. Rodriguez Urango D. 13. Hinestroza J. 5. Colpa Bolano R. R. 18. Lenis K. 17. Viveros J. 11. Renteria A. (C)	1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 98. Pena J. 33. Monzon L. 26. Suarez Y. 22. Rivas J. 28. Celis G. 14. Rios J. 8. Chara Y. (C) 9. Paiva G. 10. Muriel L.
Substitutes
14. Angulo Castro B. 25. Jimenez L. 10. Jopito 15. Maza J. 19. Moreno Y. 12. Mosquera F. (G) 23. Mosquera F.	21. Canchimbo J. 88. Castrillon B. 29. Gutierrez T. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 24. Pestana J. 20. Sarmiento J. 19. Socarras D. 6. Villarreal D.
Coaches
Florentin G.	Arias A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Muriel L. ⚽, Paiva G. (A),
19', Lenis K. 🟨,
38', Silveira M. 🟨,
40', Renteria A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Paiva G. 🟨,
45+5', Henao C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pena J. ↓, Pestana J. ↑,
49', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
61', Lenis K. ↓, Maza J. ↑,
64', Rios J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
69', Viveros J. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
75', Rivas J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
76', Muriel L. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
78', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. ↓, Jimenez L. ↑,
78', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Gutierrez T. ⚽, Paiva G. (A),
85', Chara Y. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
86', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
90', Canchimbo J. 🟨,
90+4', Castano M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Junior could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.5:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Junior	12	2	4	6	18:22	-4	10
20	Jaguares de Cordoba	11	1	4	6	11:20	-9	7

Last Results with these Odds

Junior Barranquilla - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.97%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
22.02.26	América de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
12.02.26	Boyacá Chicó - Jaguares de Córdoba	5:0 ✺
08.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Once Caldas - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWT
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
22.02.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Junior Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
02.02.26	Deportivo Pereira - Junior Barranquilla	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
29.09.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	1:1
15.03.24	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:1
29.09.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
22.04.23	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:0
30.10.22	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	0:2
14.05.22	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:4
17.10.21	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1

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