The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 47.2%
Draw 28.2%
América de Cali 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
28.6%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
27.8%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
30%
10%
Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 6 - 60%). América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 26. Suarez Y. 33. Monzon L. 98. Pena J. 34. Guerrero J. 28. Celis G. 22. Rivas J. 77. Barrios C. 8. Chara Y. (C) 21. Canchimbo J. 10. Muriel L.
1. Jean (G) 13. Castillo M. 2. Torres M. (C) 4. Mosquera A. 30. Bertel O. 17. Lucumi J. 15. Carrascal R. 5. Escobar J. 11. Machis D. 9. Valencia D. 10. Guzman Y.
Substitutes
29. Gutierrez T. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 9. Paiva G. 16. Perez C. 24. Pestana J. 14. Rios J. 20. Sarmiento J. 6. Villarreal D.
35. Angulo K. 26. Camacho Anchico J. A. 6. Cavadia J. 16. Correa B. 18. Garces Y. 25. Romero J. 3. Rosero D. 23. Sierra C. 12. Soto J. (G)
Coaches
Arias A.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Muriel L. (Penalty Awarded),
22', Celis G. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Guzman Y. ⚽, Escobar J. (A),
32', Lucumi J. 🟨,
34', Guerrero J. 🟨,
41', Bertel O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucumi J. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
69', Monzon L. 🟨,
72', Rivas J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
72', Guerrero J. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
73', Barrios C. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
80', Valencia D. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
80', Muriel L. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
83', Garces Y. 🟨,
87', Castillo M. 🟨,
87', Machis D. ↓, Angulo K. ↑,
88', Guzman Y. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
90+2', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
90+2', Paiva G. 🟨,
90+2', Mosquera A. 🟨,
90+2', Torres M. 🟨,
90+5', Celis G. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
90+8', Silveira M. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 1, Gutierrez T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2.
Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
América de Cali is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Junior has had a series of away games.
Junior is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
America De Cali
12
8
3
1
24:7
17
27
17
Junior
12
2
4
6
18:22
-4
10
Last Results with these Odds
Junior Barranquilla - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.