The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 53.1%
Draw 26.1%
Junior Barranquilla 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
28.9%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
28.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
0%
22.2%
Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Junior will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 50.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Junior (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5 - Junior (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 4. Puerta M. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 19. Bustos N. 16. Torres D. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 11. Rodallega H. (C) 8. Fernandez O.
1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 98. Pena J. 5. Rivera D. 26. Suarez Y. 14. Rios J. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 77. Barrios C. 20. Sarmiento J. 88. Castrillon B. (C) 9. Paiva G.
Substitutes
24. Angulo J. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 40. Cuesta M. 9. Fagundez F. 77. Obrian J. 14. Palacios L. 7. Torres J. 10. Zapata A.
21. Canchimbo J. 8. Chara Y. 29. Gutierrez T. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 10. Muriel L. 18. Perez K. 38. Shmalbach A. 19. Socarras D.
Coaches
Repetto P.
Arias A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Paiva G. 🟨,
7', Suarez Y. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Bustos N. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
60', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
60', Puerta M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
69', Torres D. 🟨,
71', Moreno V. 🟨,
73', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
73', Paiva G. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
73', Sarmiento J. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
74', Castrillon B. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
79', Barrios C. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Angel Bernal F. S. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
87', Fernandez O. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
Colombia
Usa
Watch
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Mosquera A. (G) 
Bustos N. 
Silveira M. (G) 
Paiva G. 
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