Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Paderborn		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.45	3.05	Watch
	2.23	3.6	3.15
	2.19	3.71	3.07	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.19	3.54	3.05	Watch
	2.12	3.66	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)	3.55 ↓ (3.62)	3.06 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
43%

Draw
26.4%

Hertha Berlin
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	37.5%	31.2%

Paderborn - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Hertha (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hertha (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 25. Scheller T. 20. Gotze F. 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 2. Muller R. 26. Klaas S. 23. Obermair R. 30. Marino S.	1. Ernst T. (G) 2. Eitschberger J. 44. Gechter L. 37. Leistner T. 33. Karbownik M. 30. Seguin P. 31. Dardai M. 22. Winkler M. 10. Cuisance M. 11. Reese F. 18. Schuler L.
Substitutes
9. Batzner N. 7. Bilbija F. 22. Hansen M. 8. Kinsombi D. 11. Michel S. 10. Okpala K. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 27. Tigges S.	7. Brekalo J. 25. Brooks J. 28. Dudziak J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 17. Gronning S. 41. Klemens P. 27. Kolbe N. 21. Mamuzah Lum B. 8. Sessa K.
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Klaas S. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Scheller T. ⚽,
35', Klaas S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
39', 2 - 1, Schuler L. ⚽, Winkler M. (A),
45+4', 3 - 1, Batzner N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Schuler L. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
46', Cuisance M. ↓, Klemens P. ↑,
46', Eitschberger J. ↓, Kolbe N. ↑,
65', 4 - 1, Baur M. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Marino S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
67', Muller R. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
68', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
68', 5 - 1, Obermair R. ⚽,
70', 5 - 2, Brekalo J. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
74', Seguin P. 🟨,
75', Gechter L. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,
83', Brackelmann C. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
83', Winkler M. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Inactive) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hertha: Demme D. (Head Injury) Eichhorn K. (Ankle Injury) Kolbe N. (Injury) Krattenmacher M. (Muscle Injury) Zeefuik D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Bilbija F. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 32.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17:7	10	18

Last Results with these Odds

Paderborn - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Hertha Berlin - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 31.04%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.26	Bochum - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Paderborn - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWL
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
14.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Hannover	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
10.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Freiburg	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.25	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	0:2
19.01.25	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	1:2
03.08.24	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	1:2
05.04.24	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	2:3
28.10.23	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	3:1
German Bundesliga
15.02.20	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	1:2
21.09.19	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	2:1

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