Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 1 MAX
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Jahn Regensburg		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.87	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.88
	2.35	3.35	2.95
	2.37	3.56	3.08
	2.3	3.25	3	Watch
	2.33	3.48	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.43)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	2.95 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
40.4%

Draw
27.6%

Holstein Kiel
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

Jahn Regensburg - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 22% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 7).

Regensburg has the most likely position - 15 (9.7%), has project points - 41, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Holstein Kiel has the most likely position - 10 (7.73%), has project points - 46, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 28, small importance 25, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 1.

Regensburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Regensburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 2 Bundesliga
26.08.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Jahn Regensburg	4:0 ✺
20.08.22	Jahn Regensburg - Karlsruher	0:6 ✺
14.08.22	Hannover - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.07.22	Jahn Regensburg - Köln	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLLTW
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
28.08.22	Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	7:2 ✺
13.08.22	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:0 ✺
07.08.22	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.07.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
23.01.22	Jahn Regensburg - Holstein Kiel	1:2
14.08.21	Holstein Kiel - Jahn Regensburg	0:3
13.05.21	Holstein Kiel - Jahn Regensburg	3:2
12.12.20	Jahn Regensburg - Holstein Kiel	2:3
16.05.20	Jahn Regensburg - Holstein Kiel	2:2
06.10.19	Holstein Kiel - Jahn Regensburg	1:2
03.02.19	Holstein Kiel - Jahn Regensburg	2:0

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