Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Jahn Regensburg		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5
	1.7	3.8	4.6
	1.66	4	4.75	Watch
	1.67	4.14	5.13
	1.6	3.75	4.5
	1.63	3.92	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.74)	3.88 ↑ (3.65)	4.76 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
56.5%

Draw
23.9%

Lübeck
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.1%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

24.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Jahn Regensburg - Lübeck Predictions

Users Predictions: Jahn Regensburg will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 11. Faber K. 13. Bittroff A. 16. Breunig L. 6. Saller B. 5. Bulic R. 8. Geipl A. (C) 27. Kother D. 10. Viet C. 7. Schonfelder O. 20. Ganaus N.	1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 17. Grupe T. (C) 27. Reddemann S. 24. Rudiger M. 8. Egerer F. 31. Boland M. 7. Hauptmann M. 25. Gozusirin T. 21. Velasco R. 39. Breier P.
Substitutes
24. Diawusie A. 22. Eichinger N. 21. Eisenhuth T. 23. Graf J. 3. Hein B. 9. Hottmann E. 29. Huth E. 32. Weidinger A. (G) 14. Ziegele R.	23. Daube M. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 19. Kirschke F. (G) 30. Lohden J. 33. Schneider J. 20. Taffertshofer U. 13. Thiel M.
Coaches
Enochs J.	Pfeiffer L.

Preview

Regensburg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lübeck is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Regensburg is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.23	Ingolstadt - Jahn Regensburg	2:4 ✺
04.10.23	Jahn Regensburg - Waldhof Mannheim	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Jahn Regensburg - Sandhausen	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Jahn Regensburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLT
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.23	Lübeck - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Saarbrücken - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Lübeck - Hallescher	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Preußen Münster - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Lübeck - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTTL

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