Match Info

First League - Round 26

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday


	Jaiyq		Arys

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Jaiyq
45%

Draw
25.3%

Arys
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiyq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Arys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiyq than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arys than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th and 8th).

Jaiyq has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arys is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Jaiyq is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Jaiyq
Kazakh First League
15.10.26	Tobol 2 - Jaiyq	4:1 ✺
09.10.26	Jaiyq - Turan Turkistan	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Jaiyq	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Jaiyq - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Jaiyq - Yelimay 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTLW
- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
15.10.26	Arys - Akademiya Ontustik	1:0 ✺
08.10.26	Yelimay 2 - Arys	2:3 ✺
17.09.26	Arys - Aktobe 2	4:1 ✺
11.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Arys	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWW

Jaiyq - Arys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide