Match Info

First League - Round 24

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Yelimay 2		Arys

	1	X	2
	3.88	4.41	1.64	Watch
	3.27	3.89	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.27)	4.15 ↑ (3.89)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay 2
25.5%

Draw
22%

Arys
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

23.2%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

22.5%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Arys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arys than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 11th).

Yelimay 2 is Relegated to.

Yelimay 2 has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Arys shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Arys is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Arys in today's match, at odds of 1.83.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Yelimay 2 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Arys	23	7	3	13	29:43	-14	24
14	Yelimay Semey 2 ✔	23	3	3	17	17:47	-30	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey 2
Kazakh First League
18.09.26	Turan Turkistan - Yelimay 2	4:1 ✺
10.09.26	Yelimay 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Jaiyq - Yelimay 2	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Yelimay 2 - Aktobe 2	2:5 ✺
14.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Yelimay 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
17.09.26	Arys - Aktobe 2	4:1 ✺
11.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Arys	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Arys - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:1 ✺
20.08.26	Arys - Taraz	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Khan Tengri - Arys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
03.07.26	Arys - Yelimay 2	3:2

Yelimay 2 - Arys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide