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Current Win Probability
Jaraíz 49%
Draw 31%
Don Benito 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
28.7%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
27.8%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaraíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaraíz's performance.
Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Benito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (-20.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaraíz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+23.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Benito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jaraíz - Don Benito Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Cruz L. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+9', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Recent performances by Jaraíz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Don Benito is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Don Benito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Don Benito could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Jaraíz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Watch
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