Match Info
K League 1 - Round 1Date: 1 March 2026, SundayLocation: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports |
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Jeju |
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Gwangju |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.4 |
2.88 |
3 |
 Watch |
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2.3 |
3.25 |
3 |
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2.42 |
2.88 |
3 |
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2.57 |
3 |
3.16 |
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2.55 |
2.88 |
3.08 |
Watch |
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2.5 |
2.8 |
3 |
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2.52 |
2.89 |
3.08 |
Watch |
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2.25 |
3.2 |
3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.3) |
2.97 ↓
(3.28) |
3.04 ↑
(3.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jeju
38.1% | Draw
31.3% | Gwangju
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gwangju will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeju (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Kim Dong-Jun (G)
17. Yu In-Soo
28. Kim Geon-Ung
3.  Celestine J.
40. Kim Ryun-sung
22. Kwon Chang-Hoon
8. Lee Chang-Min
5.  Italo
94. Emerson Negueba
11. Shin Sang-Eun
10. Nam Tae-Hee
| 1. Kim Kyeong-min (G)
9. Ha Seung-Un
24. Yong-Wook K.
39. Min Sang-Gi
22. Kwon Sung-Yun
40. Shin Chang-Moo
14. Yu Je-Ho
88. Moon Min-seo
16. Joung Ji-hun
10. Choi Kyoung-Rok
13. Park Jeong-In
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| Substitutes |
21. An Chan-Gi (G)
24. Choi Byung-wook
20. Jang M.
41. Kim Jae-Woo
27. Kim Jun-ha
18. Kim Shin-Jin
14. Oh Jae-Hyeok
7. Park Chang-Jun
47. Park Min-jae
| 19. Ahn Hyeok-Ju
6. Ahn Young-Kyu
11.  Fridjonsson H.
26. Gong B.
8. Ju Se-Jong
42. Kang Hui-Su
27. Kim Jin-Ho
25. Kim Yun-ho
21. Roh Hee-Dong (G)
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| Coaches |
 Costa S.
| Lee J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Italo 🟥,
- 43', Ha Seung-Un 🟨,
- 44', Shin Chang-Moo 🟨,
- 45+4', Yu In-Soo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yong-Wook K. ↓, Kim Jin-Ho ↑,
- 46', Joung Ji-hun ↓, Kim Jin-Ho ↑,
- 46', Nam Tae-Hee ↓, Jang M. ↑,
- 52', Kim Jin-Ho 🟨,
- 62', Kwon Chang-Hoon ↓, Kim Jun-ha ↑,
- 62', Shin Sang-Eun ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
- 63', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
- 63', Kwon Sung-Yun ↓, Ahn Hyeok-Ju ↑,
- 74', Park Chang-Jun 🟨,
- 81', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
- 90+1', Emerson Negueba ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
- 90+3', Ahn Hyeok-Ju 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 0. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.3).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Jeju SK | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 18 |
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| 12 | Gwangju FC | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:37 | -30 | 7 |
Last Results with these Odds
Jeju - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.6%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| South Korean K-League 1 | | | 02.11.25 | Gwangju - Jeju | 2:0 | | 30.08.25 | Jeju - Gwangju | 0:1 | | 18.06.25 | Jeju - Gwangju | 0:1 | | 06.04.25 | Gwangju - Jeju | 1:0 | | 10.11.24 | Jeju - Gwangju | 0:0 | | 22.09.24 | Gwangju - Jeju | 0:2 | | 30.06.24 | Gwangju - Jeju | 2:1 |
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