Match Info

Date: 12 August 2020, Wednesday


	Jelgava		Rīgas FS

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.53	Watch
	5	4.25	1.5
	5.2	3.85	1.54	Watch
	5	3.95	1.53
	5.57	4.12	1.56
	5.5	4	1.5	Watch
	5.2	4.25	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↓ (6.45)	4.09 ↓ (4.36)	1.53 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelgava
17.4%

Draw
22.5%

Rīgas FS
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

20.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

18%

75.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Rīgas FS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rīgas FS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelgava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rīgas FS than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rīgas FS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jelgava - Rīgas FS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Europa League (Qualification)).

Recent matches Jelgava is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RFS is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match RFS is certain favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Jelgava won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 9-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Jelgava won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
07.08.20	Riga - Jelgava	3:0 ✺
03.08.20	Jelgava - Metta	2:2 ✺
30.07.20	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	0:0 ✺
26.07.20	Jelgava - Tukums 2000	2:1 ✺
22.07.20	Jelgava - Liepāja	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTTWL
- Rīgas FS Women
Latvian Virsliga
08.08.20	Rīgas FS - Liepāja	3:0 ✺
03.08.20	Spartaks - Rīgas FS	1:1 ✺
29.07.20	Rīgas FS - Valmiera	5:2 ✺
25.07.20	Ventspils - Rīgas FS	3:2 ✺
21.07.20	Tukums 2000 - Rīgas FS	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
04.07.20	Rīgas FS - Jelgava	1:0
Latvian Cup
26.10.19	Rīgas FS - Jelgava	3:2 ET
Latvian Virsliga
21.09.19	Jelgava - Rīgas FS	1:1
06.07.19	Rīgas FS - Jelgava	2:0
12.05.19	Jelgava - Rīgas FS	0:0
30.03.19	Rīgas FS - Jelgava	2:1
07.10.18	Jelgava - Rīgas FS	0:4

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