Match Info

Date: 16 August 2020, Sunday


	Ventspils		Jelgava

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.6
	1.79	3.4	3.85
	1.81	3.75	4.17
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.78	3.64	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)	3.6 ↓ (3.63)	4.04 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventspils
51.8%

Draw
25.5%

Jelgava
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

19.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventspils than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ventspils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	21.4%	3.6%

Ventspils - Jelgava Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ventspils will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Jelgava will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ventspils: 59% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Ventspils is a favorite.

Last 35 head-to-head matches Ventspils won 16 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 37-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Ventspils won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ventspils
Latvian Virsliga
12.08.20	Liepāja - Ventspils	1:1 ✺
08.08.20	Ventspils - Spartaks	1:1 ✺
03.08.20	Valmiera - Ventspils	3:0 ✺
30.07.20	Tukums 2000 - Ventspils	0:0 ✺
25.07.20	Ventspils - Rīgas FS	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLTW
- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
12.08.20	Jelgava - Rīgas FS	0:4 ✺
07.08.20	Riga - Jelgava	3:0 ✺
03.08.20	Jelgava - Metta	2:2 ✺
30.07.20	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	0:0 ✺
26.07.20	Jelgava - Tukums 2000	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
09.07.20	Jelgava - Ventspils	1:0
14.09.19	Ventspils - Jelgava	1:1
30.06.19	Jelgava - Ventspils	1:2
08.05.19	Ventspils - Jelgava	1:1
16.03.19	Jelgava - Ventspils	2:1
29.09.18	Ventspils - Jelgava	2:0
29.07.18	Jelgava - Ventspils	0:3

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