The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valmiera 81.6%
Draw 12%
Jelgava 6.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
75.8%
14.1%
10%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valmiera's performance.
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Valmiera - Jelgava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Oss D. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 36. Kragliks R. 5. Alekseiciks K. 27. Birka E. 7. Gustavo 14. Varslavans R. 29. Bahamboula J. 21. Penkevics K. 77. Porsan-Clemente J. (C) 24. Ndoye A.
1. Kudrjavcevs V. (G) 11. Valmiers D. 22. Purs V. 28. Deklavs A. 4. Kacanovs G. 23. Kluskins G. (C) 32. Kholod A. 10. Glaudans A. 20. Hlushach Y. 18. Maslovs R. 99. Becers R.
Substitutes
22. Diop M. 17. Duke C. 18. Dusalijevs N. 30. Lucas Aruba 1. Olses C. (G) 41. Omori Y. 25. Rotar C. 10. Vapne L. 4. Veips R.
6. Hanada Y. 70. Janovskis A. 16. Leitis T. (G) 17. Liepnieks A. 15. Pantelejevs K. 7. Peilans M. 19. Petersons A. 8. Sitjakovs R.
Coaches
Kalnins G.
Sydenko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Becers R. ⚽,
39', Varslavans R. 🟨,
41', Kluskins G. 🟨,
43', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
45', Becers R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', Kragliks R. 🟥,
54', Maslovs R. 🟨,
54', Gustavo ↓, Veips R. ↑,
54', Bahamboula J. ↓, Vapne L. ↑,
61', Penkevics K. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Ndoye A. ⚽,
66', Maslovs R. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
66', Valmiers D. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Varslavans R. ⚽, Porsan-Clemente J. (A),
73', 2 - 2, Glaudans A. ⚽, Kholod A. (A),
76', Janovskis A. 🟨,
77', 3 - 2, Penkevics K. ⚽,
78', Hlushach Y. ↓, Peilans M. ↑,
82', Kacanovs G. ↓, Pantelejevs K. ↑,
90+1', Varslavans R. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 4.
Valmiera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Jelgava has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Valmiera is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Valmiera won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34:23 (average 1.8:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Valmiera won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.9:0.9).