Match Info

Date: 28 September 2020, Monday


	Jeonnam Dragons		Jeju

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.7	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.72
	4.5	3.5	1.75
	4.1	3.3	1.83
	4.63	3.54	1.86
	4.33	3.4	1.78
	4.5	3.54	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.48)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)	1.77 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeonnam Dragons
21%

Draw
26.9%

Jeju
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

20.6%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeonnam Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jeju's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	4%	76%

Jeonnam Dragons - Jeju Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Jeonnam Dragons will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Jeju will win (votes: 19 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jeju: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Jeonnam Dragons is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jeju United is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Jeju United is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Jeonnam Dragons won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 19-46.

Including matches at home between the teams Jeonnam Dragons won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
19.09.20	Anyang - Jeonnam Dragons	1:2 ✺
12.09.20	Jeonnam Dragons - Gyeongnam	2:2 ✺
06.09.20	Suwon - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
30.08.20	Jeonnam Dragons - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
22.08.20	Chungnam Asan - Jeonnam Dragons	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTTW
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 2
19.09.20	Bucheon - Jeju	0:2 ✺
13.09.20	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	2:0 ✺
05.09.20	Gyeongnam - Jeju	3:3 ✺
29.08.20	Jeju - Anyang	3:1 ✺
26.08.20	Jeju - Bucheon	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
01.08.20	Jeju - Jeonnam Dragons	1:1
16.05.20	Jeonnam Dragons - Jeju	1:0
South Korean K-League 1
29.09.18	Jeju - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0
12.05.18	Jeju - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0
11.04.18	Jeonnam Dragons - Jeju	0:3
19.08.17	Jeju - Jeonnam Dragons	3:1
02.07.17	Jeonnam Dragons - Jeju	2:2

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