Match Info

K League 1 - Round 6

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play


	Jeju		Bucheon

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.9	Watch
				Watch
	2.52	2.98	2.82
	2.65	3.07	3.03
	2.56	3.05	2.9	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.9	Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.19)	2.98 ↓ (3.48)	2.92 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
36.5%

Draw
31.5%

Bucheon
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

25.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jeju's form might have worsened.

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Jeju - Bucheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bucheon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 41. Kim Jae-Woo 2. Figueiredo T. 3. Celestine J. 40. Kim Ryun-sung (C) 17. Yu In-Soo 20. Jang M. 5. Italo 94. Emerson Negueba 27. Kim Jun-ha 11. Shin Sang-Eun	1. Kim H. (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 29. Baek Dong-Gyu (C) 20. Hong Sung-Wook 7. Thiaguinho Santos 23. Takahashi K. 16. Kim Sang-Jun 26. An Tae-Hyun 8. Yoon Bit-Garam 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 11. Galego
Substitutes
21. An Chan-Gi (G) 24. Choi Byung-wook 88. Jo In-jung 28. Kim Geon-Ung 18. Kim Shin-Jin 22. Kwon Chang-Hoon 14. Oh Jae-Hyeok 7. Park Chang-Jun 9. Paulauskas G.	4. Choe Won-Cheol 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 30. Lee C. 93. Lee J. 5. Lee S. 10. Rodrigo Bassani 19. Seong S. 77. Shin Jae-Won 63. Vitor Gabriel
Coaches
Costa S.	Lee Young-Min

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Celestine J. ⚽,
45+5', Lee Eui-Hyeong 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kim H. ↓, Kim Hyeon-Yeob ↑,
63', Takahashi K. ↓, Rodrigo Bassani ↑,
64', Lee Eui-Hyeong ↓, Vitor Gabriel ↑,
69', Celestine J. 🟨,
72', Kim Jun-ha ↓, Kwon Chang-Hoon ↑,
72', Shin Sang-Eun ↓, Kim Shin-Jin ↑,
79', Kim Jae-Woo ↓, Kim Geon-Ung ↑,
88', Emerson Negueba ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
88', Kim Ryun-sung ↓, Jo In-jung ↑,
88', An Tae-Hyun ↓, Shin Jae-Won ↑,
90+2', Galego ↓, Lee C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

Jeju is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Bucheon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jeju will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Jeju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46
11	Bucheon FC 1995 ✔	31	7	11	13	31:42	-11	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
22.03.26	Gangwon - Jeju	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Jeju - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Anyang - Jeju	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Jeju - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLLT
- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
22.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Bucheon	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Bucheon - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Bucheon - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Bucheon	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Bucheon - Jeju	1:0
South Korean K-League 2
19.09.20	Bucheon - Jeju	0:2
26.08.20	Jeju - Bucheon	4:0
26.05.20	Bucheon - Jeju	0:1

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