Match Info

BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 9

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Waldomiro Borges Stadium (Jequié)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TVE Bahia


	Jequié		Jacuipense

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.49
	2.75	2.96	2.61
	2.71	3.04	2.57	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.61	3.1	2.48
	2.75	2.9	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.35)	2.97 ↓ (3.2)	2.52 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jequié
33.4%

Draw
30.6%

Jacuipense
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jequié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jequié's form might have worsened.

Jacuipense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jequié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Jequié - Jacuipense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Thiago Passos (G)
15. Azevedo
6. Gilmar
20. Gregory
4. Jean
10. Joao Grilo (C)
11. Lucas Shallon
9. Recife T.
3. Sergio Baiano
7. Vicente
2. Wanderson Lima
Substitutes
1. Andrey (G)
8. Flavio L.
14. Gabriel Henrique
16. Goncalves G.
23. Kaue
17. Kaynan
5. Marcos Paulo
22. Neto Rocha (G)
18. Tiquinho
19. Wanderson
13. Weslley
21. Yago

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Flavinho ⚽,
7', 🟨,
8', 🟨,
13', 0 - 2, Flavinho (Pen),
38', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
45+2', Sergio Baiano 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Gregory 🟨,
56', Recife T. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Lucas Shallon ⚽,
61', Flavinho ↓, Leozinho ↑,
65', Gregory ↓, Tiquinho ↑,
66', Azevedo ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
80', 🟨,
80', William ↓, Bruninho ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Jacuipense is Qualified for Baiano (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Recent matches Jequié is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jacuipense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jacuipense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jequié won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Jequié won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Jequié
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
16.02.25	Vitória Salvador - Jequié	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Jequié - Jacobina	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Porto SC - Jequié	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Jequié - Bahia	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jequié	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLT
- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
19.02.25	Jacuipense - Porto SC	5:0 ✺
12.02.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
30.01.25	Jacuipense - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Jacuipense - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
17.02.24	Jacuipense - Jequié	1:0
10.03.19	Jacuipense - Jequié	2:1
04.03.18	Jequié - Jacuipense	0:1

Jequié - Jacuipense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide