Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Jerez		Gévora

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.35	4.05
	1.65	3.69	4.83
	1.65	3.7	4.77
	1.65	3.3	4.8
	1.6	3.58	5.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	3.52 ↑ (3.29)	4.71 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerez
54.8%

Draw
25.8%

Gévora
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

27.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Gévora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Jerez - Gévora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gévora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jerez is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jerez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gevora	5	2	2	1	8:9	-1	8
12	Jerez CF	4	1	1	2	4:6	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.03.26	Pueblonuevo - Jerez	3:2 ✺
25.02.26	Jerez - Puebla de la Calzada	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Jerez - Calamonte	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Montijo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Moralo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LTTWW
- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.03.26	Gévora - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Gévora	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Gévora - Jaraíz	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Montehermoso - Gévora	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Gévora - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.10.25	Gévora - Jerez	2:2

Jerez - Gévora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide