Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 19Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday
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Jerez |
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Jaraíz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.68 |
3.05 |
2.4 |
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 |
2.75 |
3.51 |
2.29 |
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 |
1.52 |
3.60 |
6.90 |
 Watch |
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2.8 |
3.25 |
2.25 |
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2.74 |
3.38 |
2.27 |
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2.71 |
3.4 |
2.28 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.38) |
3.37 ↑
(3.25) |
3.07 ↑
(2.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jerez
38.8% | Draw
29.2% | Jaraíz
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jerez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+1.8%)Jerez - Jaraíz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Chavez Chema (Penalty Awarded),
- 13', 1 - 1, Ramos Moreno A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', 2 - 1, Diarrassouba B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 84', 2 - 2, Ramos Moreno A. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).Jerez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).In recent matches, Jaraíz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).Including home matches between the teams, Jerez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Jaraíz - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.57%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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