Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 12

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansand)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)


	Kristiansund		Moss

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.1
	1.67	4.3	4.1
	1.77	4.13	4.15
	1.7	3.7	4
	1.73	4.15	4.2	Watch
	1.71	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.58)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	4.16 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
54.2%

Draw
23.4%

Moss
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.1%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

25.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kristiansund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Kristiansund - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kristiansund will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Moss will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mbaye S. (G) 19. Coly A. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 26. Williamsen M. 2. Nilsen S. 21. Broholm M. 6. Hopmark A. 14. Isaksen J. 15. Rakneberg M. 17. Willumsson B. 9. Stokke B.	1. Ranmark M. (G) 21. Hoffmann I. 3. Strande K. 4. Gjesdal H. 25. Hussein A. 5. Kukleci I. 6. Makosso K. 15. Hapnes A. 23. Alexandersson N. (C) 14. Braga C. 20. Potur A.
Substitutes
24. Agbo D. 31. Alvheim L. 23. Bruseth H. 7. Gjertsen T. 16. Konradsen Ceide M. 11. Mawa M. 1. McDermott S. (G) 13. Olsen M. 37. Sivertsen O.	12. Bachke E. (G) 10. Callaku L. 18. Getz L. 27. Haugli S. 19. Pedersen S.
Coaches
Michelsen C.	Myhre T.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Moss have a series of guest games.

In this match Kristiansund is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Kristiansund - Molde	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Levanger - Kristiansund	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Kristiansund - Skeid	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Jerv - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWTT
- Moss FK
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Sogndal - Moss	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Ranheim - Moss	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Kvik Halden - Moss	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Moss - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Drøbak-Frogn - Moss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW

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