Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 28

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Jiangxi Lushan		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.18	3.05	3.2	Watch
	2.31	2.87	3.37
	2.31	2.96	3.38
	2.13	3.14	3.22
	2.18	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.59)	3.01 ↓ (3.17)	3.25 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
41.4%

Draw
30.4%

Foshan Nanshi
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jiangxi Lushan's performance.

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Foshan Nanshi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jiangxi Lushan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foshan Nanshi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Jiangxi Lushan - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jiangxi Lushan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Chen Junxu (G) 13. Zhang Yanjun 24. Du Junpeng 4. Zhu Mingxin 25. Wang Hongbin 10. Willie 17. Xu Dongdong 14. Chen Yunhua 11. Brown T. 36. Zhang Junzhe 44. Abdukerim Qaharman	12. Yang Chao (G) 41. Ou X. 23. Wen Junjie 17. Maslac M. 13. Zhang Xingbo 39. Li Bowen 16. Ma Junliang 26. Yao-hsing Y. 10. Aguila R. 30. Huang Chuqi 27. Fortes C.
Substitutes
29. Fortes F. 16. Hu Jiaqi 33. Kang Zhenjie 35. Li Jiahao 34. Ma Kunyue (G) 28. Muhta Muzapar 5. Nuer X. 6. Song Ziwenhao 37. Wang J. 7. Wu Linfeng 23. Yao Zixuan 26. Zhang Xiang	36. Chang Feiya 5. Che Shiwei 21. Cui Xinglong 1. Gao Y. (G) 45. Huang Wei 24. Song Runtong 20. Wu Y. 33. Wu Y. 14. Yao Xilong 22. Ye Z. 38. Zhang Ran 28. Zhang Z.
Coaches
Yue S.	Zhou C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhu Mingxin ↓, Muhta Muzapar ↑,
64', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Nuer X. ↑,
65', Chen Yunhua 🟨,
66', Yao-hsing Y. ↓, Wu Y. ↑,
79', Ma Junliang ↓, Zhang Z. ↑,
82', Wang Hongbin ↓, Kang Zhenjie ↑,
83', Willie 🟨,
90', Huang Chuqi ↓, Wu Y. ↑,
90+5', Kang Zhenjie 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 1, Fortes C. ⚽,
90+8', Fortes C. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
12.10.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Dalian Young Boy - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TLLWW
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
13.10.24	Ningbo Professional - Foshan Nanshi	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Foshan Nanshi - Heilongjiang Ice City	5:1 ✺
29.09.24	Foshan Nanshi - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Foshan Nanshi	4:1 ✺
16.09.24	Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
08.06.24	Foshan Nanshi - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1

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