Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 25

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Dalian Young Boy		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.8	8.25
	1.28	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.31	5.01	10
	1.33	4.7	10	Watch
	1.3	4.33	8.5
	1.26	4.95	9.7	Watch
	1.28	4.75	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	4.76 ↑ (4)	9.35 ↑ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dalian Young Boy
70.9%

Draw
19.3%

Jiangxi Lushan
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.6%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

19.5%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Young Boy's performance.

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Young Boy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiangxi Lushan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Dalian Young Boy - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dalian Young Boy will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Jiangxi Lushan will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Sui Weijie (G) 38. Lu Zhuoyi 6. Robson 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 29. Sun B. 21. Lu Peng (C) 22. Mao W. 28. Fei Yu 16. Zhu P. 44. Kotnik A.	19. Chen Junxu (G) 13. Zhang Yanjun 36. Zhang Junzhe 17. Xu Dongdong 24. Du Junpeng (C) 10. Willie 37. Wang J. 11. Brown T. 44. Abdukerim Qaharman 29. Fortes F. 4. Zhu Mingxin
Substitutes
23. 23 40. Fernando Karanga 1. Ge Peng (G) 8. Geping Q. 3. Gerbig O. 10. Wang Xuanhong 9. Yan P. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 2. Zhang Zhen 34. Zhao Mingjian 4. Zhao Xuebin 26. Zhongkai C.	14. Chen Yunhua 30. Gao Mingyi 16. Hu Jiaqi 33. Kang Zhenjie 35. Li Jiahao 34. Ma Kunyue (G) 5. Nuer X. 6. Song Ziwenhao 25. Wang Hongbin 23. Yao Zixuan 26. Zhang Xiang
Coaches
Li G.	Yue S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Fei Yu 🟨,
35', Zhang Junzhe 🟨,
39', Abdukerim Qaharman 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Sun B. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zhu P. ↓, Fernando Karanga ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Kotnik A. ⚽, Fernando Karanga (A),
60', Zhang Yanjun 🟥,
65', Wang J. ↓, Kang Zhenjie ↑,
65', Abdukerim Qaharman ↓, Nuer X. ↑,
70', Willie ↓, Chen Yunhua ↑,
76', Fei Yu ↓, 23 ↑,
81', Kotnik A. ↓, Yan P. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Fernando Karanga ⚽, Mao W. (A),
86', Lu Peng ↓, Geping Q. ↑,
86', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Zhao Mingjian ↑,
86', Brown T. ↓, Hu Jiaqi ↑,
87', Geping Q. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
87', Du Junpeng ↓, Wang Hongbin ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Dalian Young Boy is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dalian Young Boy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
21.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Dalian Young Boy - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Young Boy	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Dalian Young Boy - Foshan Nanshi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLW
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
22.09.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
11.05.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Dalian Young Boy	0:3

Upcoming Matches